Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili
The Footlab AI model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Samgurali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torpedo Kutaisi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Samgurali (1,588) and Torpedo Kutaisi (1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samgurali
4-1-4-1- 9T. Gaprindashvili
- 20Vinicius Vianna
- 8I. Bidzinashvili
- 10L. Gilmore
- 26Z. Iashvili
- 33Isac Martins
- 4O. Patarkatsishvili
- 13L. Gegetchkori
- 27L. Shergelashvili
- 25M. Shatirishvili
- 21A. Siukaev
Torpedo Kutaisi
4-4-2- 14Felipe Pires
- 9K. Andrić
- 7V. Mamuchashvili
- 35D. Deisadze
- 17N. Lominadze
- 8M. Itrak
- 22D. Bukia
- 33M. Stamatov
- 24L. Latsabidze
- 4M. Šimić
- 1O. Goshadze
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samgurali have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Torpedo Kutaisi have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Meshakhte(home) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Dila(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 3-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Samgurali win, 0 draws, 5 Torpedo Kutaisi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 3-2 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Samgurali 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 6-1 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Samgurali | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Samgurali 2-4 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Torpedo Kutaisi 6-2 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali on Sep 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samgurali score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samgurali | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samgurali sit 7th in Erovnuli Liga (39 points from 31 matches) and Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th (40 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 40 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 55 | 39 |
A question about Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Samgurali.
- Where and when is Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi played?
- Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi is played on December 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.