Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)David Petriashvili Arena, Tbilisi
The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Tbilisi the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Gagra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dinamo Tbilisi wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Dinamo Tbilisi starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,574).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gagra
4-1-4-1- 30G. Goshteliani
- 25Wanderson
- 6M. Tsintsadze
- 33L. Gurchiani
- 8I. Skrypnyk
- 10L. Kekelidze
- 40Claudinei
- 7P. Borges
- 14Z. Tchavtchanidze
- 22G. Sadghobelashvili
- 1O. Vorobey
Dinamo Tbilisi
4-3-3- 14M. Do Couto
- 12Algassime Bah
- 7K. Doltmurziev
- 22N. Ninua
- 10G. Kharaishvili
- 4N. Ugrekhelidze
- 13M. Pourzitídis
- 27N. Kurdić
- 17P. Psaltis
- 6Leonardo Santos
- 20Lucas Flores
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gagra have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Dinamo Tbilisi have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 2-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(home) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Samgurali(away) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gagra wins, 1 draw, 1 Dinamo Tbilisi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 4-0 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Gagra 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2-4 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 16, 2025 | Gagra 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra on Sep 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gagra score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Tbilisi score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gagra sit 8th in Erovnuli Liga (31 points from 31 matches) and Dinamo Tbilisi sit 3rd (55 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 55 |
| 8 | Gagra | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 28 | 45 | 31 |
A question about Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Tbilisi the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Gagra.
- Where and when is Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi played?
- Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi is played on December 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at David Petriashvili Arena, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.