Sampdoria vs Benevento: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sampdoria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Benevento wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Benevento?
Benevento starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sampdoria vs Benevento
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sampdoria
4-3-2-1- 9T. Lauritsen
- 6L. Henderson
- 45A. Makoumbou
- 10L. Insigne
- 16Y. Verschaeren
- 28O. Abildgaard
- 29A. Di Pardo
- 7M. Cicconi
- 3S. Gartenmann
- 15F. Delli Carri
- 1P. Vindahl
Benevento
4-1-3-2- 9F. Salvemini
- 29D. Okereke
- 11D. Lamesta
- 8M. Maita
- 6A. Siatounis
- 28C. Kouan
- 14S. Scognamillo
- 23P. Saio
- 77E. Pierozzi
- 20P. Beruatto
- 26G. Vannucchi
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sampdoria have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Benevento have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sampdoria win, 1 draw, 2 Benevento wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | Benevento 1-1 Sampdoria | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Sampdoria 2-3 Benevento | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Benevento 3-2 Sampdoria | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Sampdoria 2-1 Benevento | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Benevento vs Sampdoria on Feb 7, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Sampdoria score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Benevento score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Benevento | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sampdoria sit 18th in Serie B (4 points from 6 matches) and Benevento sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Sampdoria vs Benevento?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sampdoria vs Benevento?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sampdoria.
- Where and when is Sampdoria vs Benevento played?
- Sampdoria vs Benevento is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.