Avellino vs Mantova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
The Footlab AI model makes Avellino the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Mantova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avellino wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avellino vs Mantova?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Avellino (1,864) and Mantova (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avellino vs Mantova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
- 2F. Missori
- 6L. Palmiero
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 50T. Martinelli
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 19F. Ruocco
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 80R. Kouda
- 30D. Bragantini
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 41Jonathan Silva
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avellino have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Mantova have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Avellino win, 1 draw, 0 Mantova wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mantova 0-2 Avellino | Serie B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Avellino 0-0 Mantova | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Avellino score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avellino sit 7th in Serie B (10 points from 6 matches) and Mantova sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Avellino vs Mantova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Mantova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avellino the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Mantova.
- Where and when is Avellino vs Mantova played?
- Avellino vs Mantova is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.