Carrarese vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carrarese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Virtus Entella?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Carrarese (1,813) and Virtus Entella (1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Virtus Entella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 10L. Cuppone
- 11Bernat Guiu
- 5N. Squizzato
- 24A. Franzoni
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 18T. Annoni
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Virtus Entella have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Carrarese wins, 1 draw, 1 Virtus Entella win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Virtus Entella 0-1 Carrarese | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Virtus Entella 2-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Carrarese 3-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Virtus Entella 0-0 Carrarese | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Virtus Entella 1-3 Carrarese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Carrarese 2-0 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Entella vs Carrarese on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Virtus Entella | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 13th in Serie B (7 points from 7 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Virtus Entella | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Carrarese vs Virtus Entella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Virtus Entella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Virtus Entella played?
- Carrarese vs Virtus Entella is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.