Ascoli vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Vicenza Virtus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ascoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
On Elo ratings, Ascoli has 1,888 points and Vicenza Virtus 1,819.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ascoli vs Vicenza Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 62T. Milanese
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Vicenza Virtus
3-5-2- 33S. Merkaj
- 24Filippo Alessio
- 29L. Zonta
- 4M. Carraro
- 5R. Marchizza
- 26G. Pellizzari
- 99A. Pietrelli
- 14G. Cuomo
- 27T. Sandon
- 6M. Leverbe
- 16R. Gagno
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascoli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Koper(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ascoli wins, 1 draw, 2 Vicenza Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | Vicenza Virtus 2-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Ascoli 2-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Ascoli 2-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Vicenza Virtus 2-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Ascoli 2-0 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Vicenza Virtus vs Ascoli on Mar 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ascoli sit 5th in Serie B (11 points from 6 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
A question about Ascoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Vicenza Virtus.
- Where and when is Ascoli vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Ascoli vs Vicenza Virtus is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.