Sampdoria vs Catanzaro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Catanzaro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?
Catanzaro starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sampdoria have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Catanzaro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Parma(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novara(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Taverne(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Paradiso(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Monza(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sampdoria win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Catanzaro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Catanzaro 0-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Sampdoria 0-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| May 4, 2025 | Catanzaro 2-2 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Sampdoria 3-3 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| May 10, 2024 | Catanzaro 1-3 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Sampdoria 1-2 Catanzaro | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Catanzaro vs Sampdoria on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sampdoria score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Catanzaro score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Catanzaro | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?
- The Footlab model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Catanzaro.
- Where and when is Sampdoria vs Catanzaro played?
- Sampdoria vs Catanzaro is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.