Juve Stabia vs Cesena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
The Footlab model makes Juve Stabia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Cesena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juve Stabia vs Cesena?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Juve Stabia (1,914) and Cesena (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juve Stabia have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cesena have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2026 | Monza(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| May 16, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forli(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Padova(home) | 3-4 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Juve Stabia win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cesena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Juve Stabia 2-0 Cesena | Serie B |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Cesena 1-1 Juve Stabia | Serie B |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Cesena 1-2 Juve Stabia | Serie B |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Juve Stabia 1-0 Cesena | Serie B |
| May 19, 2024 | Cesena 2-2 Juve Stabia | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
Last archived meeting: Juve Stabia vs Cesena on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juve Stabia score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juve Stabia sit 7th in Serie B (51 points from 38 matches) and Cesena sit 11th (46 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44 | 45 | 51 |
| 11 | Cesena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45 | 56 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juve Stabia vs Cesena?
- The Footlab model makes Juve Stabia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Cesena.
- Where and when is Juve Stabia vs Cesena played?
- Juve Stabia vs Cesena is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.