Arezzo vs Sudtirol: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo
The Footlab model makes Arezzo the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
Arezzo starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arezzo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sudtirol have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Bari(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 15, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arezzo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sudtirol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | Sudtirol 1-0 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Arezzo 0-4 Sudtirol | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Arezzo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sudtirol score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sudtirol | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sudtirol | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38 | 48 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
- The Footlab model makes Arezzo the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Arezzo vs Sudtirol played?
- Arezzo vs Sudtirol is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Città di Arezzo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.