Šampion Celje vs Zavrč: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Igrišče Olimp, Celje
The Footlab model makes Šampion Celje the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Zavrč. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šampion Celje vs Zavrč?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Šampion Celje (1,418) and Zavrč (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šampion Celje have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Zavrč have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podvinci(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Čarda Martjanci(away) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Žalec(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Krško(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Mozirje(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Brežice(away) | 0-6 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Čarda Martjanci(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 9, 2026 | Rače(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 3-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 1-4 | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Šampion Celje score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Zavrč score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šampion Celje | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Zavrč | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Šampion Celje | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šampion Celje vs Zavrč?
- The Footlab model makes Šampion Celje the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Zavrč.
- Where and when is Šampion Celje vs Zavrč played?
- Šampion Celje vs Zavrč is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Igrišče Olimp, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.