NK Ormoz vs Podvinci: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes NK Ormoz the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Podvinci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Ormoz vs Podvinci?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate NK Ormoz (1,478) and Podvinci (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, NK Ormoz have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Podvinci have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rače(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šmartno(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Šampion Celje(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odranci(home) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Šmartno(home) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 9, 2026 | Brežice(away) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
NK Ormoz score 3.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Podvinci score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Ormoz | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Podvinci | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Ormoz sit 2nd in 3. SNL - East (6 points from 2 matches) and Podvinci sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Ormoz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Podvinci | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Ormoz vs Podvinci?
- The Footlab model makes NK Ormoz the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Podvinci.
- Where and when is NK Ormoz vs Podvinci played?
- NK Ormoz vs Podvinci is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.