Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 35Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Erosi Manjgaladze, Samtredia
The Footlab AI model makes Samtredia the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Kolkheti Poti. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti?
Samtredia starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,543 vs 1,439).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samtredia
4-3-3- 10J. Cordero
- 20O. Gagnidze
- 11T. Odikadze
- 7G. Manjgaladze
- 37D. Gvasalia
- 32B. Lopez
- 16D. Dobranskyi
- 33G. Latsabidze
- 15G. Kveladze
- 19T. Jangidze
- 12V. Lazarevs
Kolkheti Poti
4-3-3- 23V. Gonçalves
- 8D. Gotsiridze
- 11N. Kapanadze
- 10G. Kharebava
- 12T. Oloko-Obi
- 5N. Abuladze
- 24A. Giunashvili
- 40G. Chaduneli
- 4J. Dvalishvili
- 3S. Kharchilava
- 1L. Nanava
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samtredia have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Kolkheti Poti have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Merani Martvili(home) | 5-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shturmi(away) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gori(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Samtredia(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sioni(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Samtredia win, 2 draws, 3 Kolkheti Poti wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti 1-0 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Samtredia 2-2 Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti 1-3 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Kolkheti Poti 0-0 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Samtredia 1-3 Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Kolkheti Poti 2-0 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samtredia score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kolkheti Poti score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samtredia | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Kolkheti Poti | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samtredia sit 5th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (40 points from 29 matches) and Kolkheti Poti sit 9th (31 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Samtredia | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 41 | 40 |
| 9 | Kolkheti Poti | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 31 |
A question about Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samtredia the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Kolkheti Poti.
- Where and when is Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti played?
- Samtredia vs Kolkheti Poti is played on December 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Erosi Manjgaladze, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.