Match

San Antonio vs Orange County SC: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Field, San Antonio, Texas

San AntonioOrange County SC

The Footlab AI model makes San Antonio the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Orange County SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Antonio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Antonio vs Orange County SC?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate San Antonio (1,833) and Orange County SC (1,765).

45%29%26%
San Antonio winDrawOrange County SC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for San Antonio vs Orange County SC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

San Antonio

4-3-3
  1. 77L. Ricol
  2. 99C. Sorto
  3. 7L. Haakenson
  1. 15M. Maldonado
  2. 19C. Parano
  3. 14L. Berrón
  1. 13A. Ward
  2. 21A. Crognale
  3. 43S. Suárez
  4. 22E. Cuello
  1. 98J. Batrouni

Orange County SC

4-3-3
  1. 11L. MacKinnon
  2. 21M. War
  3. 20M. Bunbury
  1. 8O. Sylla
  2. 10C. Hegardt
  3. 19K. Partida
  1. 23R. Doghman
  2. 15T. Espy
  3. 5T. Brewitt
  4. 16J. Lindsey
  1. 1A. Rando

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:40 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Antonio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Orange County SC have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Antonio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Oakland Roots(away)0-0USL Championship
Oct 4, 2026Las Vegas Lights(away)0-1USL Championship
Sep 30, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)0-7Friendlies Clubs
Sep 27, 2026Tampa Bay Rowdies(home)0-0USL Championship
Sep 20, 2026Sacramento Republic(away)0-0USL Championship
Orange County SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026El Paso Locomotive(away)1-2USL Championship
Oct 4, 2026Monterey Bay(home)1-2USL Championship
Sep 27, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)1-0USL Championship
Sep 19, 2026Lexington(away)0-6USL Championship
Sep 13, 2026Las Vegas Lights(home)0-2USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Antonio win, 1 draw, 4 Orange County SC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 9, 2026Orange County SC 2-0 San AntonioUSL Championship
Oct 16, 2025Orange County SC 1-0 San AntonioUSL Championship
Sep 21, 2025San Antonio 3-1 Orange County SCUSL Championship
Jul 21, 2024Orange County SC 2-0 San AntonioUSL Championship
Apr 14, 2024San Antonio 0-0 Orange County SCUSL Championship
Oct 8, 2023Orange County SC 1-0 San AntonioUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Orange County SC vs San Antonio on Apr 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Antonio score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Orange County SC score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Antonio0.71.265/156/15
Orange County SC1.02.129/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Antonio sit 8th in USL Championship (39 points from 28 matches) and Orange County SC sit 7th (39 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Orange County SC281099374439
8San Antonio289127292939

A question about San Antonio vs Orange County SC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Antonio vs Orange County SC?
The Footlab AI model makes San Antonio the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Orange County SC.
Where and when is San Antonio vs Orange County SC played?
San Antonio vs Orange County SC is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Field, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?