San Clemente vs Manchego: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Clemente, San Clemente
The Footlab model makes Manchego the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for San Clemente. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Clemente vs Manchego?
Manchego starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,669).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Clemente have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Manchego have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | La Solana(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Toledo(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cazalegas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 30, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 23, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 17, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 10, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 San Clemente win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Manchego win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | San Clemente 3-2 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Manchego 1-0 San Clemente | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | San Clemente 1-4 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Manchego 5-1 San Clemente | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: San Clemente vs Manchego on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Clemente score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Manchego score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Clemente | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Manchego | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Clemente sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (47 points from 34 matches) and Manchego sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Manchego | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 29 | 61 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Clemente vs Manchego?
- The Footlab model makes Manchego the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for San Clemente.
- Where and when is San Clemente vs Manchego played?
- San Clemente vs Manchego is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Clemente, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.