Guadalajara II vs Quintanar del Rey: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Guadalajara II the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Quintanar del Rey. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara II vs Quintanar del Rey?
Quintanar del Rey starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Quintanar del Rey have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Azuqueca(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pedroñeras(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara II score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Quintanar del Rey score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara II | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guadalajara II | 34 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara II vs Quintanar del Rey?
- The Footlab model makes Guadalajara II the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Quintanar del Rey.
- Where and when is Guadalajara II vs Quintanar del Rey played?
- Guadalajara II vs Quintanar del Rey is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.