Almansa vs Marchamalo: result 3-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, Almansa
Full time
What was the result of Almansa vs Marchamalo?
Almansa won 3-1 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 43′614190Marchamalo
- 61′635713Almansa (o.g.)
- 68′CanoAlmansa
- 90′?Almansa
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Almansa win at 42%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almansa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Marchamalo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villacañas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Noblejas(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Almansa score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marchamalo score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almansa | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Marchamalo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almansa sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (10 points from 6 matches) and Marchamalo sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Almansa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Marchamalo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Almansa vs Marchamalo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy