Match

San Martín Burzaco vs UAI Urquiza: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 42Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Boga, Burzaco, Provincia de Buenos Aires

San Martín BurzacoUAI Urquiza

The Footlab model makes San Martín Burzaco the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for UAI Urquiza. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs UAI Urquiza?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate San Martín Burzaco (1,633) and UAI Urquiza (1,578).

San Martín Burzaco win44 %
Draw32 %
UAI Urquiza win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martín Burzaco have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; UAI Urquiza have 1, 9 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Martín Burzaco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Argentino Quilmes(home)3-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026Defensores Unidos(away)0-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Comunicaciones(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026Dock Sud(away)1-4Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 2, 2026Deportivo Merlo(home)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
UAI Urquiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(home)0-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026Deportivo Armenio(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Flandria(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Argentino Quilmes(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 San Martín Burzaco win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 UAI Urquiza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026UAI Urquiza 0-0 San Martín BurzacoPrimera B Metropolitana
Oct 11, 2025San Martín Burzaco 5-0 UAI UrquizaPrimera B Metropolitana
May 24, 2025UAI Urquiza 2-1 San Martín BurzacoPrimera B Metropolitana
Jul 27, 2024UAI Urquiza 1-0 San Martín BurzacoPrimera B Metropolitana
Mar 10, 2024San Martín Burzaco 1-0 UAI UrquizaPrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: UAI Urquiza vs San Martín Burzaco on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Martín Burzaco score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Martín Burzaco0.71.356/154/15
UAI Urquiza0.41.065/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Martín Burzaco sit 10th in Primera B Metropolitana (28 points from 20 matches) and UAI Urquiza sit 19th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10San Martín Burzaco20776221928
12San Martín Burzaco3291310313440
19UAI Urquiza203116121620
21UAI Urquiza3231910152828

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Martín Burzaco vs UAI Urquiza?
The Footlab model makes San Martín Burzaco the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for UAI Urquiza.
Where and when is San Martín Burzaco vs UAI Urquiza played?
San Martín Burzaco vs UAI Urquiza is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Boga, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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