Where and when is San Miguel vs Laguna de Duero played?

San Miguel vs Laguna de Duero is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Miguel vs Laguna de Duero: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

San Miguel

Laguna de Duero

The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Laguna de Duero. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Miguel vs Laguna de Duero?

San Miguel starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,545).

San Miguel win65 %

Draw22 %

Laguna de Duero win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Laguna de Duero have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Miguel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Palmas III(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Telde(away)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Marino(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026	Mensajero(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Laguna de Duero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2025	Cultural Leonesa II(home)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 4, 2025	Cristo Atlético(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2025	Mirandés II(home)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2025	Atlético Mansillés(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2025	Ciudad Rodrigo(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

San Miguel score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Miguel	1.2	1.1	4	6/15	7/15
Laguna de Duero	0.9	2.1	3	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37	43	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Laguna de Duero?: The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Laguna de Duero.
Where and when is San Miguel vs Laguna de Duero played?: San Miguel vs Laguna de Duero is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.