Match

Playas Sotavento vs San Miguel: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Playas SotaventoSan Miguel

The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Miguel wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Playas Sotavento vs San Miguel?

San Miguel starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,781 vs 1,639).

23%26%51%
Playas Sotavento winDrawSan Miguel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Playas Sotavento vs San Miguel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Playas Sotavento

Not enough data to predict the Playas Sotavento lineup.

San Miguel

Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:51 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; San Miguel have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Playas Sotavento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Estrella(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 31, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 24, 2026Panadería Pulido(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2026San Bartolomé(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 17, 2026Laguna de Duero(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Las Palmas III(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 31, 2026San Bartolomé(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 24, 2026Villaverde Norte(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2026Estrella(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 17, 2026Panadería Pulido(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Playas Sotavento score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 11; San Miguel score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Playas Sotavento0.72.407/115/11
San Miguel1.90.876/156/15

Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Playas Sotavento sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (4 points from 10 matches) and San Miguel sit 3rd (22 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3San Miguel1071221922
17Playas Sotavento100467254

A question about Playas Sotavento vs San Miguel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs San Miguel?
The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Playas Sotavento.
Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs San Miguel played?
Playas Sotavento vs San Miguel is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Playas Sotavento and San Miguel