Laguna de Duero vs Villaverde Norte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Laguna de Duero the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Villaverde Norte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laguna de Duero vs Villaverde Norte?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laguna de Duero have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Villaverde Norte have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 4, 2025 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2025 | Mirandés II(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Atlético Mansillés(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Ciudad Rodrigo(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laguna de Duero vs Villaverde Norte?
- The Footlab model makes Laguna de Duero the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Villaverde Norte.
- Where and when is Laguna de Duero vs Villaverde Norte played?
- Laguna de Duero vs Villaverde Norte is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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