San Miguel vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Panadería Pulido. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Miguel wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,007 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Miguel vs Panadería Pulido?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate San Miguel (1,779) and Panadería Pulido (1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Miguel vs Panadería Pulido
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Miguel
Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.
Panadería Pulido
Not enough data to predict the Panadería Pulido lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 San Miguel wins, 1 draw, 2 Panadería Pulido wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido 4-1 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Miguel 1-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Panadería Pulido 3-1 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs San Miguel on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Miguel score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Panadería Pulido score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Panadería Pulido | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Miguel sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (22 points from 10 matches) and Panadería Pulido sit 2nd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Panadería Pulido | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 22 |
A question about San Miguel vs Panadería Pulido?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Panadería Pulido?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Panadería Pulido.
- Where and when is San Miguel vs Panadería Pulido played?
- San Miguel vs Panadería Pulido is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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