Estrella vs Marino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estrella wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella vs Marino?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Estrella (1,632) and Marino (1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrella vs Marino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Marino have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Estrella win, 1 draw, 3 Marino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino 1-0 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Estrella 2-2 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Marino 4-1 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Estrella 2-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Marino 5-1 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrella sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 5 matches) and Marino sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Estrella vs Marino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Marino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Marino.
- Where and when is Estrella vs Marino played?
- Estrella vs Marino is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027MensajerovsLas Palmas III
- Feb 28, 2027LanzarotevsLos Llanos
- Feb 28, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsSan Fernando CD
- Feb 28, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Feb 28, 2027Playas SotaventovsLaguna de Duero
- Feb 28, 2027Tenerife CvsSan Bartolomé
- Feb 28, 2027San MiguelvsPanadería Pulido
- Feb 28, 2027AnazavsVillaverde Norte