Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka, Nowy Sącz
The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Lechia Zielona Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Sandecja Nowy Sącz (1,918) and Lechia Zielona Góra (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandecja Nowy Sącz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lechia Zielona Góra have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz sit 6th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Lechia Zielona Góra.
- Where and when is Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Oct 3, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Oct 3, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsTychy 71
- Oct 3, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 3, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Oct 3, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Oct 3, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsLegia Warszawa II
- Oct 3, 2026Świt SkolwinvsSokół Kleczew