Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków
The Footlab model makes Znicz Pruszków the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Znicz Pruszków (1,786) and Stal Stalowa Wola (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Znicz Pruszków have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Znicz Pruszków win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2025 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-5 Znicz Pruszków | I Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Znicz Pruszków 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | I Liga |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Znicz Pruszków | Cup |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1 Znicz Pruszków | II Liga - East |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Znicz Pruszków 4-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Znicz Pruszków on May 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Znicz Pruszków score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znicz Pruszków | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Znicz Pruszków sit 3rd in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Znicz Pruszków | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Znicz Pruszków the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 3, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Oct 3, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Oct 3, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsTychy 71
- Oct 3, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 3, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Oct 3, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsLegia Warszawa II
- Oct 3, 2026Świt SkolwinvsSokół Kleczew