Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ
The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rekord Bielsko-Biała have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 3-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Podhale Nowy Targ 3-2 Rekord Bielsko-Biała | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1-1 Podhale Nowy Targ | II Liga - East |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0-4 Podhale Nowy Targ | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Podhale Nowy Targ 1-0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0-2 Podhale Nowy Targ | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rekord Bielsko-Biała score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
- The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
- Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała played?
- Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 3, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Oct 3, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Oct 3, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsTychy 71
- Oct 3, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 3, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Oct 3, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsLegia Warszawa II
- Oct 3, 2026Świt SkolwinvsSokół Kleczew