Match

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ

Podhale Nowy TargRekord Bielsko-Biała

The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała (1,816).

Podhale Nowy Targ win50 %
Draw24 %
Rekord Bielsko-Biała win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rekord Bielsko-Biała have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(home)1-2II Liga - East
Aug 15, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-3II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Stal Stalowa Wola(home)3-1II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)0-3Cup
Aug 2, 2026Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home)3-0II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Podhale Nowy Targ 3-2 Rekord Bielsko-BiałaII Liga - East
Aug 1, 2025Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1-1 Podhale Nowy TargII Liga - East
Feb 15, 2025Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0-4 Podhale Nowy TargFriendlies Clubs
Feb 10, 2024Podhale Nowy Targ 1-0 Rekord Bielsko-BiałaFriendlies Clubs
Jan 22, 2022Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0-2 Podhale Nowy TargFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rekord Bielsko-Biała score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15
Rekord Bielsko-Biała1.11.347/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Rekord Bielsko-Biała5212877
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała played?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Podhale Nowy Targ and Rekord Bielsko-Biała

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