Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna
The Footlab model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
Chojniczanka Chojnice starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Chojniczanka Chojnice have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 2-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Górnik Łęczna win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chojniczanka Chojnice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Górnik Łęczna 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice | I Liga |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-0 Górnik Łęczna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Górnik Łęczna 0-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1 Górnik Łęczna | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice on Mar 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chojniczanka Chojnice score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Chojniczanka Chojnice sit 14th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
- The Footlab model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice played?
- Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 3, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Oct 3, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsTychy 71
- Oct 3, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 3, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Oct 3, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Oct 3, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsLegia Warszawa II
- Oct 3, 2026Świt SkolwinvsSokół Kleczew