Match

Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna

Górnik ŁęcznaChojniczanka Chojnice

The Footlab model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Chojniczanka Chojnice starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,777).

Górnik Łęczna win32 %
Draw25 %
Chojniczanka Chojnice win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Chojniczanka Chojnice have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Łęczna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Podhale Nowy Targ(home)5-2II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Kalisz(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)0-1II Liga - East
Chojniczanka Chojnice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Stal Stalowa Wola(home)2-0II Liga - East
Aug 15, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)2-1II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Znicz Pruszków(home)1-4II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Podhale Nowy Targ(away)0-2Cup
Aug 2, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)0-3II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Górnik Łęczna win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chojniczanka Chojnice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2023Górnik Łęczna 0-0 Chojniczanka ChojniceI Liga
Jan 28, 2023Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-0 Górnik ŁęcznaFriendlies Clubs
Jan 28, 2023Górnik Łęczna 0-2 Chojniczanka ChojniceFriendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2022Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1 Górnik ŁęcznaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice on Mar 18, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chojniczanka Chojnice score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Górnik Łęczna1.31.918/158/15
Chojniczanka Chojnice1.71.8210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Chojniczanka Chojnice sit 14th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Górnik Łęczna5212987
14Chojniczanka Chojnice5203596

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
The Footlab model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Łęczna.
Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice played?
Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Górnik Łęczna and Chojniczanka Chojnice

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