Sankara Nationals vs Steadfast: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sankara Nationals the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Steadfast. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sankara Nationals vs Steadfast?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Sankara Nationals (1,477) and Steadfast (1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sankara Nationals have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Steadfast have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | TF Exponential(home) | 2-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tamale City(away) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Northern City(away) | 2-3 | Division One League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Yapei(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Wa Power(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | Karela(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Feb 26, 2023 | King Faisal(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jan 20, 2023 | STK Stars(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Tamale City(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sankara Nationals score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Steadfast score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sankara Nationals | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Steadfast | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sankara Nationals | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sankara Nationals vs Steadfast?
- The Footlab model makes Sankara Nationals the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Steadfast.
- Where and when is Sankara Nationals vs Steadfast played?
- Sankara Nationals vs Steadfast is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.