Sant'Angelo vs Città di Varese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Chiesa, Sant'Angelo Lodigiano
The Footlab AI model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Sant'Angelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Città di Varese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,620 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sant'Angelo vs Città di Varese?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Sant'Angelo (1,693) and Città di Varese (1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sant'Angelo vs Città di Varese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sant'Angelo
Not enough data to predict the Sant'Angelo lineup.
Città di Varese
Not enough data to predict the Città di Varese lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sant'Angelo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Città di Varese have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lentigione(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sant'Angelo win, 1 draw, 0 Città di Varese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Città di Varese 2-2 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Sant'Angelo 3-0 Città di Varese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Città di Varese vs Sant'Angelo on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sant'Angelo score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Città di Varese score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sant'Angelo | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Città di Varese | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sant'Angelo sit 8th in Serie D - Girone D (15 points from 11 matches) and Città di Varese sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sant'Angelo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Città di Varese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Sant'Angelo vs Città di Varese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sant'Angelo vs Città di Varese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Sant'Angelo.
- Where and when is Sant'Angelo vs Città di Varese played?
- Sant'Angelo vs Città di Varese is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Chiesa, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.