Crema vs Oltrepò: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab AI model makes Crema the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Oltrepò. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crema wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,712 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crema vs Oltrepò?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Crema (1,673) and Oltrepò (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crema vs Oltrepò
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Oltrepò
Not enough data to predict the Oltrepò lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crema have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Oltrepò have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pontedera(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lentigione(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 1-6 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Crema score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Oltrepò score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crema | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Oltrepò | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crema sit 13th in Serie D - Girone D (8 points from 8 matches) and Oltrepò sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 4 |
A question about Crema vs Oltrepò?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crema vs Oltrepò?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crema the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Oltrepò.
- Where and when is Crema vs Oltrepò played?
- Crema vs Oltrepò is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.