Varesina vs Coriano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale, Venegono Superiore
The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Coriano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varesina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varesina vs Coriano?
Varesina starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,641).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Varesina vs Coriano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Coriano
Not enough data to predict the Coriano lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varesina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Coriano have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crema(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coriano score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Coriano | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varesina sit 14th in Serie D - Girone D (7 points from 8 matches) and Coriano sit 15th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 15 | Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Varesina vs Coriano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varesina vs Coriano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Coriano.
- Where and when is Varesina vs Coriano played?
- Varesina vs Coriano is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.