El Palmar vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs Santomera?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate El Palmar (1,592) and Santomera (1,684).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Palmar vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 El Palmar wins, 1 draw, 1 Santomera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Santomera 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | El Palmar 2-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | El Palmar 2-3 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Santomera 0-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs El Palmar on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
A question about El Palmar vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs Santomera played?
- El Palmar vs Santomera is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsOlímpico Totana
- Nov 29, 2026Mazarrón FCvsSan Javier
- Nov 29, 2026SFC MinervavsUCAM Murcia II
- Nov 29, 2026Bala AzulvsBullas Deportivo
- Nov 29, 2026AlcantarillavsBalsicas Atlético
- Nov 29, 2026Unión MolinensevsLos Garres
- Nov 29, 2026Águilas IIvsCartagena LU II
- Nov 29, 2026Santa CruzvsAlgar