Santa Rita vs Spartax: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Semi-finalsKick-off on October 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 4 de Janeiro, Uíge
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Rita the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Spartax. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Rita vs Spartax?
Santa Rita starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,689 vs 1,471).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Rita vs Spartax
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Rita
Not enough data to predict the Santa Rita lineup.
Spartax
Not enough data to predict the Spartax lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Rita have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Spartax have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spartax(home) | 8-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Femar(away) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Picuiense(away) | 6-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | São Paulo Crystal(home) | 4-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sport PB(home) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Guarabira(away) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Rita(away) | 1-8 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Cruzeiro PB(home) | 1-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Guarabira(away) | 1-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Sport PB(home) | 1-1 | Paraibano 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Santa Rita win, 0 draws, 0 Spartax wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Rita 8-1 Spartax | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Rita vs Spartax on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Rita score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spartax score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Rita | 2.1 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartax | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Santa Rita vs Spartax?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Rita vs Spartax?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Rita the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Spartax.
- Where and when is Santa Rita vs Spartax played?
- Santa Rita vs Spartax is played on October 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 4 de Janeiro, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.