Spartax vs Santa Rita: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Semi-finalsKick-off on October 19, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, João Pessoa, Paraíba
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Rita the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Spartax. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Rita wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartax vs Santa Rita?
Santa Rita starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,689 vs 1,471).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spartax vs Santa Rita
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spartax
Not enough data to predict the Spartax lineup.
Santa Rita
Not enough data to predict the Santa Rita lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartax have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Santa Rita have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Guarabira(away) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Rita(away) | 1-8 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Cruzeiro PB(home) | 1-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Guarabira(away) | 1-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Sport PB(home) | 1-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spartax(home) | 8-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Femar(away) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Picuiense(away) | 6-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | São Paulo Crystal(home) | 4-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sport PB(home) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Spartax wins, 0 draws, 1 Santa Rita win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Rita 8-1 Spartax | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Rita vs Spartax on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartax score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Rita score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartax | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Santa Rita | 2.1 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Spartax vs Santa Rita?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartax vs Santa Rita?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Rita the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Spartax.
- Where and when is Spartax vs Santa Rita played?
- Spartax vs Santa Rita is played on October 19, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.