Santanyí vs Manacor: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, Santanyí (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Manacor the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Santanyí. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manacor wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santanyí vs Manacor?
Manacor starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,788).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santanyí vs Manacor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santanyí
Not enough data to predict the Santanyí lineup.
Manacor
Not enough data to predict the Manacor lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santanyí have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Manacor have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Platges Calvià(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santanyí win, 2 draws, 3 Manacor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Santanyí 1-1 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Manacor 5-1 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Santanyí 0-0 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Manacor 1-2 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Santanyí 0-1 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Manacor 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Manacor score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Manacor | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santanyí sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (12 points from 6 matches) and Manacor sit 2nd (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Manacor | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
A question about Santanyí vs Manacor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santanyí vs Manacor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manacor the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Santanyí.
- Where and when is Santanyí vs Manacor played?
- Santanyí vs Manacor is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.