Mercadal vs Llosetense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Martì, Menorca
The Footlab model makes Mercadal the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Llosetense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mercadal vs Llosetense?
Llosetense starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercadal have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Llosetense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 0-7 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 17, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 10, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mercadal win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Llosetense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Llosetense 6-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Mercadal 0-0 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Llosetense 3-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Mercadal 4-0 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Mercadal 1-3 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Llosetense 1-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Llosetense vs Mercadal on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mercadal score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Llosetense score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercadal | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Llosetense | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mercadal sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (49 points from 34 matches) and Llosetense sit 5th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 58 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 44 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mercadal vs Llosetense?
- The Footlab model makes Mercadal the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Llosetense.
- Where and when is Mercadal vs Llosetense played?
- Mercadal vs Llosetense is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Martì, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.