Mercadal vs Llosetense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Martì, Menorca
The Footlab AI model makes Llosetense the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Mercadal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llosetense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mercadal vs Llosetense?
Llosetense starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mercadal vs Llosetense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Llosetense
Not enough data to predict the Llosetense lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercadal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Llosetense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mercadal win, 1 draw, 4 Llosetense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Llosetense 6-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Mercadal 0-0 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Llosetense 3-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Mercadal 4-0 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Mercadal 1-3 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Llosetense 1-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Llosetense vs Mercadal on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mercadal score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Llosetense score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercadal | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Llosetense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mercadal sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (5 points from 6 matches) and Llosetense sit 9th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Llosetense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Mercadal vs Llosetense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mercadal vs Llosetense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llosetense the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Mercadal.
- Where and when is Mercadal vs Llosetense played?
- Mercadal vs Llosetense is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Martì, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.