Constància vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nou Camp de Inca, Inca
The Footlab model makes Constància the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Constància vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Constància (1,910) and Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Constància have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 17, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 10, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Rotlet Molinar(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Constància win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3-3 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Constància 2-1 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Constància 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-0 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Constància on Mar 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Constància score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constància | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Constància | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 29 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Constància vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
- The Footlab model makes Constància the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas.
- Where and when is Constància vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas played?
- Constància vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Camp de Inca, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.