Santarritense vs Novo Esporte Clube: prediction and stats
Mineiro - 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Santarritense the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Novo Esporte Clube. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santarritense vs Novo Esporte Clube?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Santarritense have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Novo Esporte Clube have 5, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Paracatu(away) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Coimbra(home) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | BOA(away) | 0-3 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Essube(home) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tupi(away) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santarritense vs Novo Esporte Clube?
- The Footlab model makes Santarritense the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Novo Esporte Clube.
- Where and when is Santarritense vs Novo Esporte Clube played?
- Santarritense vs Novo Esporte Clube is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Mineiro - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.