Araxá vs Funorte: prediction and stats
Mineiro - 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Fausto Alvim, Araxá, Minas Gerais
The Footlab AI model makes Araxá the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Funorte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Araxá wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Araxá vs Funorte?
On Elo ratings, Araxá has 1,441 points and Funorte 1,473.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Araxá vs Funorte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Araxá
4-3-3- WWanderson Duarte de Oliveira
- TTony
- MMarco Aurelio Martins Ivo
- DDinda
- LLéo Salino
- MMarcão
- HHenrique Valle de Oliveira e Cruz
- RRafael Silva Santos
- DDiego Luiz
- LLeandro Henrique Alves Medeiros
- MMarcelo Bonan
Funorte
Not enough data to predict the Funorte lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Araxá have 2 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Funorte have 1, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Betim 2(away) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Siderurgica(away) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Paracatu(home) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sao Joao del Rei(away) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Nova Iguaçu(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Siderurgica(home) | 2-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paracatu(away) | 0-3 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sao Joao del Rei(home) | 1-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Betim 2(away) | 0-3 | Mineiro - 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Araxá score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 12; Funorte score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araxá | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 4/12 | 5/12 |
| Funorte | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araxá sit 5th in Mineiro - 3 (3 points from 3 matches) and Funorte sit 4th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Funorte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | Araxá | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Araxá vs Funorte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Araxá vs Funorte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Araxá the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Funorte.
- Where and when is Araxá vs Funorte played?
- Araxá vs Funorte is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Fausto Alvim, in the Mineiro - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.