Inter de Minas vs Nova Lavras: prediction and stats
Mineiro - 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Esportivo da UIT, Itaúna, Minas Gerais
The Footlab AI model makes Inter de Minas the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Nova Lavras. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inter de Minas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter de Minas vs Nova Lavras?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Inter de Minas (1,478) and Nova Lavras (1,513).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter de Minas vs Nova Lavras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter de Minas
Not enough data to predict the Inter de Minas lineup.
Nova Lavras
Not enough data to predict the Nova Lavras lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter de Minas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nova Lavras have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Venda Nova(away) | 0-3 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Santarritense(home) | 7-1 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Nacional AC MG(home) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Novo Esporte Clube(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Novo Esporte Clube(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santarritense(home) | 13-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Nacional AC MG(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Novo Esporte Clube(home) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venda Nova(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter de Minas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nova Lavras score 4.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter de Minas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Nova Lavras | 4.5 | 1.0 | 2 | 2/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter de Minas sit 4th in Mineiro - 3 (3 points from 4 matches) and Nova Lavras sit 5th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Inter de Minas | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| 5 | Nova Lavras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Inter de Minas vs Nova Lavras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter de Minas vs Nova Lavras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter de Minas the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Nova Lavras.
- Where and when is Inter de Minas vs Nova Lavras played?
- Inter de Minas vs Nova Lavras is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Esportivo da UIT, in the Mineiro - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.