Siderurgica vs Sao Joao del Rei: prediction and stats
Mineiro - 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Siderurgica the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sao Joao del Rei. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siderurgica vs Sao Joao del Rei?
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siderurgica vs Sao Joao del Rei?
- The Footlab model makes Siderurgica the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sao Joao del Rei.
- Where and when is Siderurgica vs Sao Joao del Rei played?
- Siderurgica vs Sao Joao del Rei is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Mineiro - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.