Santa Cruz vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Cruz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Santomera?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Santa Cruz (1,743) and Santomera (1,727).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Cruz vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Cruz
Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Santa Cruz win, 0 draws, 1 Santomera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz 0-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Santomera on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Cruz sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (9 points from 6 matches) and Santomera sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Santa Cruz vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Santa Cruz vs Santomera played?
- Santa Cruz vs Santomera is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026El PalmarvsCartagena LU II
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsMazarrón FC
- Dec 13, 2026SFC MinervavsAlgar
- Dec 13, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsLos Garres
- Dec 13, 2026Bala AzulvsBalsicas Atlético
- Dec 13, 2026AlcantarillavsSan Javier
- Dec 13, 2026Unión MolinensevsBullas Deportivo
- Dec 13, 2026Águilas IIvsOlímpico Totana