Santurtzi vs Pasaia KE: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Jorge, Santurtzi
The Footlab AI model makes Santurtzi the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santurtzi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,626 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santurtzi vs Pasaia KE?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Santurtzi (1,654) and Pasaia KE (1,612).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santurtzi vs Pasaia KE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santurtzi
Not enough data to predict the Santurtzi lineup.
Pasaia KE
Not enough data to predict the Pasaia KE lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santurtzi have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Pasaia KE have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Derio(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santurtzi win, 2 draws, 3 Pasaia KE wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pasaia KE 1-0 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Pasaia KE 0-0 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Santurtzi 1-3 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Pasaia KE 2-3 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Santurtzi 2-2 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Pasaia KE 3-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Pasaia KE vs Santurtzi on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santurtzi score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pasaia KE score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santurtzi | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pasaia KE | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santurtzi sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (9 points from 9 matches) and Pasaia KE sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pasaia KE | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Santurtzi vs Pasaia KE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santurtzi vs Pasaia KE?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santurtzi the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Santurtzi vs Pasaia KE played?
- Santurtzi vs Pasaia KE is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Jorge, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.