Sao Paulo vs Bahia: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 26, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
Sao Paulo won 2-0 on October 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′LucianoSao Paulo
- 41′D. BobadillaSao Paulo
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Bahia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
3-4-1-2- 7Lucas Moura
- 10Luciano
- 20Marcos Antônio
- 13E. Díaz
- 29Pablo Maia
- 21D. Bobadilla
- 42Maik
- 35Sabino
- 5R. Arboleda
- 28A. Franco
- 23Rafael
Bahia
4-3-3- 77Tiago
- 12Willian José
- 7Ademir
- 6Jean Lucas
- 26N. Acevedo
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 25Iago
- 21S. Ramos
- 33David Duarte
- 13S. Arias
- 96Ronaldo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bahia have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Mirassol(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Gremio(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Flamengo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sao Paulo wins, 1 draw, 2 Bahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2025 | Bahia 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bahia 0-3 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Bahia 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Bahia | 1.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 10th in Serie A (44 points from 34 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (53 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 44 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy