Sao Paulo vs Bahia: result 2-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on May 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
Sao Paulo and Bahia drew 2-2 on May 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′ArturSao Paulo
- 62′Luciano JubaBahia
- 73′FerreiraSao Paulo
- 90′ErickBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 14, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Santos(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Remo(home) | 1-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sao Paulo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| May 31, 2025 | Bahia 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bahia 0-3 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Bahia | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 22 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy