Sao Paulo vs Bahia: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 18, 2014 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
Sao Paulo won 2-1 on October 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 40′Rogério Mücke CeniSao Paulo
- 79′PH GansoSao Paulo
- 88′Leandro Fahel MatosBahia
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Bahia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
- AAlan Kardec
- KKaká
- MMichel Bastos
- DDenílson Pereira Neves
- SSouza
- PPH Ganso
- ÉÉdson Silva
- ÁÁlvaro Daniel Pereira Barragán
- RR. Tolói
- HHúdson
- RRogério Mücke Ceni
Bahia
- HHenrique Almeida
- RRafinha
- MMarcos Aurélio de Oliveira Lima
- GGuilherme Santos
- DDemerson
- DDiego Macedo Prado dos Santos
- LLucas Silva Fonseca
- RRailan
- BBruno Jacinto da Silva
- RRafael Miranda da Conceição
- MMarcelo Lomba
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bahia have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2014 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Gremio(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Fluminense(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2014 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sao Paulo wins, 0 draws, 3 Bahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2014 | Bahia 0-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2013 | Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 11, 2013 | Sao Paulo 1-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Bahia 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 27, 2012 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Bahia 4-3 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bahia | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 9th in Serie A (43 points from 32 matches) and Bahia sit 7th (50 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 40 | 50 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 43 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy