Sao Paulo vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 1, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Fluminense?
Sao Paulo won 1-0 on July 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 87′LucianoSao Paulo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2023 | Tigre(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 8, 2023 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 5-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2023 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Bahia(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Goias(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 8, 2023 | River Plate(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sao Paulo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Fluminense 3-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Sao Paulo 2-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Fluminense 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 30, 2021 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Dec 27, 2020 | Fluminense 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo on Nov 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy