Bahia vs Gremio: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 1, 2023 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Gremio?
Gremio won 1-2 on July 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 9′F. CristaldoGremio
- 20′KaykyBahia
- 90′Gustavo MartinsGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Gremio have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2023 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2023 | Santos(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2023 | Coritiba(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2023 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2023 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2022 | Gremio 1-1 Bahia | Serie B |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Bahia 0-0 Gremio | Serie B |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Bahia 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Gremio 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Gremio 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Bahia 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (34 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy