Sao Paulo vs Gremio: result 3-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Sao Paulo won 3-0 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 21′M. AraújoSao Paulo
- 68′Pablo MaiaSao Paulo
- 90′LucianoSao Paulo
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1- 15M. Araújo
- 22David
- 19J. Rodríguez
- 7Lucas Moura
- 29Pablo Maia
- 25Alisson
- 6Welington
- 35Beraldo
- 4Diego Costa
- 13Rafinha
- 23Rafael
Gremio
5-3-2- 19F. Cristaldo
- 9L. Suárez
- 23Pepê
- 48Josué
- 20M. Villasanti
- 51Wesley
- 4W. Kannemann
- 34Bruno Alves
- 15Bruno Uvini
- 18João Pedro
- 12Gabriel Grando
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | Goias(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Corinthians(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Coritiba(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Internacional(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Corinthians(away) | 4-4 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sao Paulo wins, 1 draw, 3 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2023 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2021 | Gremio 3-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Gremio 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Gremio 1-0 Sao Paulo | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 10th in Serie A (43 points from 33 matches) and Gremio sit 17th (37 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 43 |
| 17 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 44 | 37 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy