Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on June 4, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio won 2-1 on June 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 15′J. CalleriSao Paulo
- 31′F. CristaldoGremio (pen.)
- 39′ReinaldoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sao Paulo have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2023 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 27, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2023 | Internacional(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| May 17, 2023 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 14, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2023 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 28, 2023 | Goias(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 24, 2023 | Puerto Cabello(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 20, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| May 17, 2023 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | Gremio 3-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Gremio 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Gremio 1-0 Sao Paulo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy