Sao Paulo vs Gremio: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on July 17, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)MorumBIS, São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Sao Paulo won 1-0 on July 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 10′Lucas MouraSao Paulo
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1- 9J. Calleri
- 47Ferreira
- 10Luciano
- 7Lucas Moura
- 21D. Bobadilla
- 25Alisson
- 6Welington
- 32N. Ferraresi
- 5R. Arboleda
- 2Igor Vinicius
- 23Rafael
Gremio
4-3-3- 7Y. Soteldo
- 13Everton Galdino
- 21C. Pavón
- 17Dodi
- 23Pepê
- 20M. Villasanti
- 6Reinaldo
- 36Natã
- 5Rodrigo Ely
- 18João Pedro
- 1A. Marchesín
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Gremio have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2024 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 6, 2024 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Criciuma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2024 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Juventude(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sao Paulo wins, 1 draw, 2 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2021 | Gremio 3-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Gremio 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 10th in Serie A (44 points from 34 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 44 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | 37 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy